Abstract
The paper investigates the causality relationships among industrial production index, coal consumption and employment in industrial sector for the period of 1973:1-2011:10 in USA. After noticing that there are breaks in the regression model, the Hatemi-J test for cointegration is employed to the cases that take into account two possible regime shifts. It is concluded that there is a long run relationship between industrial production and industrial coal consumption with the breaks at 1983:4 and 1998:4. We found a negative relationship between coal consumption and industrial production for the period of 1973:1-1983:4 and positive relationship for 1983:5-1998:4 period. For the last period that covers 1983:5-2011:10, the cointegration relationship turned to negative. In addition, the results show that causal relationship between coal consumption and industrial production changes over time. (C) 2012 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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Kapsamı
Uluslararası
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Type
Hakemli
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Index info
WOS.SCI,WOS.SSCI
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Language
English
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Article Type
None
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Keywords
Industrial production Energy consumption Coal consumption Cointegration with two breaks